Tag: C.J. Stroud

Two quarterbacks had a talk, and a lot has changed since

Full circle moments are endless in the everlasting search for the elite QB

Before jumping into the NFL offseason (congratulations to the Seattle Seahawks on becoming Super Bowl champions), let’s go back to early last season to set the stage for things to come. The date in the focus is September 15, 2024. That’s win the Houston Texans defeated the Chicago Bears, 19-13, on a Sunday night in Houston. After the game, Texans quarterback C. J. Stroud, coming off a rookie campaign in 2023 that had some saying the next great QB is here, would meet with Bears signal-caller Caleb Williams, who was himself a rookie at that point. Much would be made of what transpired during that conversation, but one of the main theories was Stroud talked to Williams like he was a seasoned vet trying give knowledge to a young buck in the game. Whether or not that was the substance of their conversation is up for debate, but what is certain is a lot has changed since that day, and both quarterbacks are at pivotal points in their respective careers.

For Stroud, it was mentioned how well he played in his first season, winning the Associated Press Offensive Rookie of the Year award, while leading Houston to the divisional playoff round before going out to the Baltimore Ravens (common theme developing). Most people expected the rise to continue, but something that’s often forgotten is defenses are also part of sports, and the days of sneaking up on them would eventually come to an end. Therefore, Stroud would have to develop plans B and C to go with his plan A, and if not, less progression and more regression is sure to follow. Well, it’s been two full seasons since it’s his stellar rookie campaign, and it appears the Texans are in a spot the majority of the football world didn’t think they would be in, wondering if Stroud is the answer at quarterback going forward. Last year ended in a lackluster loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, and this season’s conclusion looked even worse. If it wasn’t for Houston’s defense, the team might have been done in the wild card round against the Pittsburgh Steelers, hampered by Stroud’s three turnovers. Any worries from that game turned into full-blown doubts after the Texans were eliminated (in the same divisional playoff round as the previous two seasons) by the New England Patriots. Four interceptions doomed Houston, and not even the defense could pull this out of the fire. Now, the Texans have to figure out if Stroud is worthy of a long-term extension going forward, and this being a question is far from what was expected at this point two years ago.

As for Williams, things have improved steadily since that postgame meeting with Stroud, but it was far (and still is) from what was expected from the supposed next elite QB. His rookie season was uneven at best, and while his numbers point to a solid season (20 touchdowns, 6 interceptions in 2024), there were a lot of sacks eaten by Williams, some of those because of the offensive line being bad, but the other part is his lack of being able to play on-schedule. New year, new system to learn, as Ben Johnson arrived (after being the offensive coordinator for the Detroit Lions) to take over head coaching duties. The numbers, from a TD (27) to INT (7) standpoint, were even better for Williams. Having said that, there were numerous games where nothing was happening on offense for the first three quarters (which led to a completion percentage of 58.1), with the sophomore QB struggling to hit what would be considered easy completions. The hope in him being the long-term answer comes from his ability to do two things. First, Williams came through in the fourth quarter, leading Chicago to seven comeback victories, including one in the wild card round against the Green Bay Packers. Secondly, there are plays Williams makes that only a few quarterbacks are capable of. The Los Angeles Rams saw that first hand in the divisional playoffs, forcing him to scramble backwards on an all-or-n0thing fourth down, only to see Williams heave a touchdown pass to tight end Cole Kmet to force overtime (the Rams would win 20-17). While the plays that make the highlight shows provide sizzle and hope, it’s hard to see a scenario where sustained success comes from waiting for miracles.

If there is a moral to the story, it’s understanding there are many ways to arrive at the same point. For Stroud, things began with the highest of highs, but currently, he’s in a regression that appears hard to shake. As for Williams, it was the opposite, with his rookie year being rocky, followed with a better second year. Regardless of the paths taken, they are both QBs of teams who had the chance to play in their respective conference championship games, and as a result, face a pivotal offseason where they have to make significant improvements if further steps are to be taken. While the talk will center around Stroud and/or Williams becoming the next elite quarterback, the concentration should be on just being solid. If not, there will be more questions than answers going forward, and the search to find the franchise quarterback may have to continue.

Having said that, the logical conclusion is the Texans and Bears have the guys they want to lead their teams. It could be because Stroud and Williams have been good enough, but a bigger reason might be the lack of alternative options available if there was a choice to move on. Those are questions that may not have an answer any time soon, but between now and the first game in September, Houston and Chicago will probably want to see the leadership and work ethic show in a big way, especially if there is to be a long-term commitment for the coming years. When Stroud and Williams had that conversation in 2024, most people thought they were looking at two of the next great QBs exchanging “pleasantries.” As it stands right now (especially for Stroud), it’s a question how many chances are left to prove they can led their respective teams to the pinnacle. Moments frozen in time have a way of re-emerging, and if the basis of that talk was Stroud trying to give Williams a teaching moment, it’s now realistic to say the former might need to receive that same conversation before too long.

Richardson’s case is the latest in a troubling trend

His career is apparently “over” after losing the competition for the Colts’ starting quarterback

The preseason is officially over in the NFL, and a week from Thursday, the regular season will be upon us. As teams start their final preparations for Week 1, there are still some items on the list to check off. One of those items include getting rosters down to 53 players, with the deadline set for Tuesday afternoon at 4 p.m. Eastern Time (ET). Like the other squads, the Indianapolis Colts have some tough decisions to make, and one of them may involve the future of quarterback Anthony Richardson. Just two years ago, this scenario might have been seen as a far cry, but the situation Richardson is now in points to a trend that should be avoided by simple understanding and judgment of talent evaluations.

Before getting into the troubling pattern plaguing the league, let’s start with the origin story. Richardson was selected by the Colts with the fourth overall pick in the 2023 draft (third QB taken that year after Bryce Young and C.J. Stroud). As is the case with all of these selections, the goal is to find that franchise-altering player that can be the cornerstone for a bright future, and based on the raw talent Richardson possesses, there’s reason to believe why Indianapolis thought they found their guy. While the physical attributes stand out, actually playing the QB position well was always a question, as Richardson was inconsistent at best during his days at Florida, finishing 2022 with a completion percentage of 53.8. That stat alone should give the scouting department (along with the general manager and head coach) pause when considering whether or not a quarterback is ready for the next level, but with the thirst over the position at an all-time high, stats can be seen as minor details, secondary to the number of highlights seen from college days. What a player does in the NFL combine and pro day means more, and that was probably the case with Richardson.

Regardless of the red flags that stuck out, the Colts felt good about their choice, and with Richardson coming in the same year Shane Steichen was hired as the head coach, a nucleus was formed. If anyone was qualified to polish the rawness of the skillset Richardson has, it was thought to be Steichen. He was the offensive coordinator with the Philadelphia Eagles when they lost in the Super Bowl to the Kansas City Chiefs the year prior. Because of his role in helping Jalen Hurts develop into one of the better QBs, the thinking was he could do the same with Richardson, who has a similar body-type to Hurts. At the beginning of 2023, things looked rosy for the newly-formed partnership, as the rookie was putting up good numbers. Unfortunately, Richardson’s season was cut short, due to a shoulder injury suffered in early-October. Fast forward to 2024, and conditioning issues surfaced in a critical divisional showdown with the Houston Texans. Richardson “tapped out” of the game due to fatigue, a move that was seen by many as quitting on his teammates. Combine that with the season he was having up to that Week 8 contest (4 touchdowns and 7 interceptions with a 44.4 completion percentage), and losing faith in a guy who’s the supposed leader and franchise player becomes more than a possibility.

After Indianapolis saw the quarterback position alternate between Richardson and Joe Flacco (now back with the Cleveland Browns) last season, training camp presented a fresh opportunity for the maligned raw talent to seize the starting job. Instead, Steichen (with probable assistance from GM Chris Ballard) decided to name Daniel Jones, someone who was with the New York Giants and Minnesota Vikings before coming to Indy, the starter for the foreseeable future. Now, questions of trust are floating around, and the team’s relationship with the player is on the rocks. Of course, the first thing the media and fans want to do is place blame on why things with the Colts and Richardson appear dark. It might be true Steichen and Ballard didn’t provide the best situation for Richardson to succeed, but ultimately (and probably the main reason), the player was most likely overrated in the first place, and not ready to play at a level where he could be considered a competent QB in the NFL. Another elephant in the room is Steichen and Ballard aren’t exactly secure in their respective positions. So they’re going to do what they feel gives them the best chance to keep their jobs and win football games. Apparently, they trust Jones more in that venture than Richardson.

In totality, this is just the latest in cases where quarterbacks are put up far too lofty, when a little bit of research (and simple eye testing) would tell a different story. Another troublesome trend is the rush to throw a BS hot take into the wind, calling Richardson a “bust” after just two seasons in the league. It’s true the career path hasn’t started off so well, but the man is only 23 years old, and the raw talent still jumps off the page (this is coming from someone who is very critical of his play). Let’s see if he can work on his craft and earn himself another chance to show he can become a franchise QB, whether it’s in Indianapolis or elsewhere. History says Jones won’t make it through a whole season without getting injured and/or benched. If and when that happens, Richardson has to be ready, because if not, there might be a little substance to that bust potential.

It’s hard to defeat the Chiefs with a loser mentality

Results say Kansas City has way more substance than luck and wild conspiracy theories

By now, we have heard all of the excuses (and conspiracies) for why the Kansas City Chiefs have become the dominant force in the NFL. If it’s not the league telling the officials to be favorable towards the Chiefs, it’s the thirst to keep Kansas City in the spotlight. Everyone knows pop star Taylor Swift, who’s currently the girlfriend of tight end Travis Kelce, brings a whole new audience the NFL might not have otherwise (the Swifties), and the networks have to make sure they get Swift’s reaction to every Kelce catch, adding fuel to the fire of haters everywhere. Regardless of the crazy reasons thrown out to the world of gossip, there’s no denying the results on the field. Kansas City is on the way to their seventh straight appearance in the AFC Championship Game, with a third consecutive Super Bowl title still in play. With that amount of success, there has to be some skill making that happen, and most importantly, consistency in the leadership positions to continue building upon.

Of course, leadership goes filters from the top down, but on the field of play, it helps to have one of the best coaches ever in Andy Reid. Not too long ago, Reid was known as a coach who couldn’t win the “big one” during his days with the Philadelphia Eagles. Now, he’s creeping up on the all-time wins list, securing his 300th when the Chiefs defeated the Houston Texans in the AFC Divisional round last weekend. At quarterback, Kansas City has Patrick Mahomes, who is the best in the league, and like Reid, is becoming one of the best ever at his respective position. Together, Reid and Mahomes have set the foundation for the rest of the roster to be constructed, which is saying a lot considering how quickly people want change when the first sign of adversity hits. One more thing, the Chiefs’ defense has become the strongest part of their team. Math can be a difficult subject, but hall-of-fame head coach, combined with great QB and defense, equals championship formula.

This isn’t breaking news about Kansas City being the standard in the league, but attempting to beat them becomes much tougher when a loser mentality enters the equation. The Texans, after being sent home by the Chiefs, made it clear they felt they were going into the game feeling like they had to beat Kansas City and the officials. There were a couple of controversial calls in regard to contact on Mahomes, but simply put, Houston is not good enough to beat a team on a championship level. When a team goes into something with a built-in excuse, they’re probably already defeated before the game starts. When the inevitable loss happens, the blame goes on everything else besides where it should go, on themselves. The Texans had plenty of opportunities to potentially win the game, but simply didn’t make enough plays. C.J. Stroud being sacked eight times has nothing to do with officiating, and everything to do with the offensive line getting whooped in the trenches. The inability to cover Kelce, who had seven catches for 117 yards and a touchdown, falls on a bad defensive game plan letting the Chiefs’ main target get wherever he wanted on the field. All of that gets forgotten in the cesspool of excuse-making, but that’s what happens when people don’t want to face the reality of not being ready for prime competition.

Clearly, being a cooked team isn’t part of the formula to beat Kansas City, but what is? Belief tops the list, but there’s also evidence that says it’s possible. The Cincinnati Bengals were able to come into GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium and beat the Chiefs during their run to the Super Bowl in the 2021-’22 season. Big picture says Kansas City has the championship rings for the last two seasons, but a deeper dive says a few plays could have literally altered history. In the 2022 run, their margins of victory were seven (Jacksonville Jaguars), three (Bengals) and three (Eagles), respectively. 2023 was more of the same. After beating the Miami Dolphins 26-7 in a rare wild card appearance, the wins were by three (Buffalo Bills), seven (Baltimore Ravens) and three (San Francisco 49ers). In other words, the Chiefs haven’t been an unbeatable freight train that blows out everyone who steps on the field with them. More often than not, teams have chances to make the money plays, but Kansas City beats them to the punch.

So here we are, in the NFL’s version of the Final Four, and we’re asking the same question we have for years about anyone having what it takes to dethrone the Chiefs. The Bills will get another shot Sunday evening, and they believe the team they’re bringing to Kansas City this time is the best equipped for the task. The mentality alone give them a better chance than Houston ever had, and belief is a powerful thing. Something else that probably won’t be heard when Buffalo’s players get interviewed leading up to the game is built-in excuses. Whether they can break through Chiefs Kingdom or not is another question, but if the Bills lose, it won’t be because the belief wasn’t there. Losing is never an easy thing to deal with, but having a loser mentality before stepping onto the field makes it worse. That’s something the Texans have to face, and if they stay with the status quo, it’s difficult to see where they can get past winning the AFC South.